Timeline

Temporal dynamics of US-China interactions: Goldstein trends, event volume, tone, and key turning points

Direction:

Goldstein Score Over Time

Monthly mean scores by direction. Positive values indicate cooperation, negative indicate conflict. The scale ranges from -10 (military assault) to +10 (accede to demands).

Key Turning Points

Goldstein mean (both directions combined) annotated with major historical events in US-China relations

crisisconflictcooperationsummitdiplomacyleadershipgeopolitics

Event Volume Over Time

Daily event count by direction, 2013 onward (when GDELT coverage becomes continuous)

Media Tone Over Time

Monthly mean tone of news reports (-100 negative to +100 positive). Reflects media sentiment around each event.

Verbal vs Material / Cooperation vs Conflict

Yearly share of events by CAMEO quad class — rising conflict share signals deteriorating relations