GDELT US-China Bilateral Events Database
1,772,126 events · 1979-01–2026-04· Goldstein risk metrics
Xun Pang
Professor
School of International Studies, Peking University
Director, PKU Analytics Lab for Global Risk Politics
Political methodologist and professor of international relations. Research focuses on causal inference, Bayesian statistics, longitudinal data modeling, and AI–social science interdisciplinary innovation. Associate Editor of Political Analysis.
Collaborators
Overview
A comprehensive event-level dataset of 1,772,126 US-China bilateral interactions spanning 47years. Built on the GDELT Project's real-time news monitoring, each event is geo-located and scored on the Goldstein scale (-10 to +10) capturing conflict vs cooperation intensity. Covers state-to-state actions, diplomatic statements, trade disputes, military posture, and crisis episodes.
At a Glance
Goldstein trend and event quad distribution across 47 years of US-China interactions
Goldstein Score Over Time
Monthly mean by direction (1979–2026). Positive = cooperation, negative = conflict.
Event Quad Distribution
Share of verbal vs material cooperation/conflict events
Related Research
Selected studies using GDELT and quantitative approaches to US-China relations
GDELT: Global Data on Events, Location, and Tone, 1979-2012
Leetaru, K. & Schrodt, P.A.
ISA Annual Convention, 2013
Measuring Conflict and Cooperation: The Goldstein Scale
Goldstein, J.S.
Journal of Conflict Resolution, 1992
Quantifying the Rise of the Sino-American Rivalry
Weiss, J.C. & Wallace, J.L.
International Organization, 2021
Real-time Risk Forecasting with Event Data
Schrodt, P.A. & Yonamine, J.
Journal of Cold War Studies, 2013
The Rivalry Between China and the United States
Christensen, T.J.
W.W. Norton & Company, 2021
Text as Data: A New Framework for Machine Learning in Political Science
Grimmer, J. & Stewart, B.M.
Political Analysis, 2013